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This is the October 2026 Growth Equity Update from Patrick Wellington, Vice-Chairman of Equity Advisory.

With Budget speculation intensifying ahead of 28 October, investors should avoid reacting to rumours alone, while reviewing potential tax planning opportunities around CGT, IHT, pensions, property and investment structures.

Rothschild & Co today announced that Pablo Hernandez Schmidt-Tophoff has joined its Global Advisory business as Managing Director, Head of Houston and Head of Energy Services & Decarbonization, North America.

France’s political uncertainty and fiscal pressures have unsettled markets, widening bond spreads and weakening the euro. While risks remain elevated ahead of 2027 elections, France’s challenges stop short of a sovereign debt crisis.

This Quarterly Letter explores how emotions and behavioural biases can undermine investment decisions. It highlights the importance of discipline, perspective and a clear long-term purpose in preserving and growing wealth through market uncertainty.

Rothschild & Co Wealth Management UK recently hosted an intimate networking dinner to encourage the conversations and connections that rarely happen in the day-to-day demands of building a business.

Global Advisory named ‘Financial Adviser of the Year’ by Mergermarket

The geostrategic context will continue to reshape the business environment, and the pace and complexity of events will only accelerate; for business leaders, that is now the norm.

Markets are navigating geopolitical uncertainty, shifting interest-rate expectations and the rapid expansion of artificial intelligence. Resilient economic activity, healthy corporate profitability and continued technology investment remain supportive, although higher oil prices, rising bond yields and political risks highlight the value of a measured, long-term investment approach.

Rothschild & Co has been recognised across five categories at the Global Banking & Markets Awards in the Middle East

The latest Growth Equity Update from Patrick Wellington, Vice-Chairman of Equity Advisory.

Many business owners accumulate cash without a clear strategy. By separating operational, reserve and surplus capital, businesses can improve resilience, reduce concentration risk, manage tax considerations more effectively, and ensure excess cash supports longer-term business and personal objectives.

Rothschild & Co appoints Brent Surber to lead its Private Capital Markets capabilities in North America

Japan’s yen has weakened sharply, reviving concerns over carry-trade unwinding and global market volatility. Yet Japan’s stronger growth, rising wages, higher inflation, corporate reforms, and improving shareholder focus suggest a structural economic revival, though sustained profitability remains the key test.

With soil degradation threatening food security, regenerative agriculture offers proven solutions. Success depends on valuing nature, supporting farmers, empowering consumers, and aligning incentives across policymakers, businesses, investors and growers.

Populism is reshaping politics across the US and Europe, drawing parties away from the traditional centre. Rather than left versus right, voters increasingly divide along establishment versus anti-establishment lines, creating opportunities for populist movements and challenging conventional political assumptions.

Rothschild & Co’s UK Wealth Management business continues to strengthen its regional presence with appointment of Samantha Beach in Manchester.

Rothschild & Co has been recognised with five prestigious awards at Euromoney's Awards for Excellence 2026

After a strong start to the year for the fixed income markets, the environment has gradually become more complex. Yet the credit market initially benefited from a favorable environment: resilient global growth, gradual disinflation, and central banks perceived as likely to ease monetary policy.

The latest Growth Equity Update from Patrick Wellington, Vice-Chairman of Equity Advisory.

Interest rate expectations have shifted markedly in 2026, with markets now anticipating higher rates amid persistent inflation, economic resilience and more hawkish central banks. Despite this, strong AI-driven earnings have supported equities.

As we head into the summer, the second half of 2026 looks set to be defined less by any single crisis than by continuing geopolitical shifts across multiple arenas. The simmering conflict in the Gulf continues. US politics is entering an important phase as we approach the midterms. Across Europe, populist sentiment is increasingly setting the national agenda, as the EU continues to double down on Made in Europe. Running through all of this is a steady erosion of trust between traditional partners that is pushing countries to hedge, diversify and act in their own self-interest.

While geopolitical tensions and trade fragmentation continue to shape the global economic landscape, developments in energy markets have reduced some of the most immediate threats to growth and inflation.

Global equities rose despite geopolitical tensions, as markets looked through near-term risks. AI infrastructure spending drove returns and earnings growth, valuations sent mixed signals, and corporate activity remained subdued but showed signs of recovery.

Rothschild & Co Redburn analysts unpack the forces reshaping markets and society: from the future of stablecoins to AI’s quiet revolution in construction and the multi-decade grid supercycle transforming energy infrastructure.

Following Keir Starmer’s resignation, Andy Burnham has emerged as Labour’s likely successor. Despite political uncertainty, markets remain calm, with economic and geopolitical trends outweighing domestic politics. Significant policy change appears unlikely.

Rothschild & Co Foundation has launched its new strategy to 2030, marking the next chapter in its work to support future generations and strengthen the systems that shape their lives.

Markets are preparing for a wave of megacap IPOs led by SpaceX, amid strong AI-driven optimism. While liquidity should absorb issuance comfortably, questions remain around valuations, passive investing, concentration risk and index influence.

The latest Growth Equity Update from Patrick Wellington, Vice-Chairman of Equity Advisory.

Switzerland’s upcoming referendum to cap population at 10 million may tighten migration and risk EU ties, but economic impact likely limited, with living standards, markets and growth resilient over time.

Rothschild & Co appoints Lucy Baldwin as Global Head of Equities