Kevin Gardiner

Kevin Gardiner - Global Investment Strategist - Rothschild & Co

Global Investment Strategist

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The Global Investment Strategy Team analyse macroeconomic and geopolitical developments, focusing on their likely impact on investment markets. They work primarily with our Wealth Management businesses in London, Switzerland and Germany, but occasionally with our Global Advisory and Merchant Banking businesses too.

Kevin is the Global Investment Strategist and a Managing Director at Rothschild & Co Wealth Management, having joined in 2014. He chairs the Asset Allocation committee for Mosaique (Switzerland-based) portfolios.

Alongside his work at Rothschild & Co, Kevin chairs the Regional Growth Board for the Cardiff Capital Region, and is a trustee of the London Music Fund. For nine years to 2018 he was a Governor and Chair of the Finance Committee at the United World College of the Atlantic. In 1994, at Morgan Stanley, he wrote the ‘Celtic Tiger’ report on the Irish economy, still the fastest-growing economy in Western Europe. In 2015 his book Making Sense of Markets was published by Palgrave Macmillan.

Experience

Prior to joining Rothschild & Co, Kevin worked at Barclays Wealth, latterly as CIO (Europe), from 2009. Previously, he worked for more than twenty years as a sell-side economist and strategist at several investment banks. He started his career as an economist at the Bank of England.

Education

Kevin was a scholarship holder at UWC Atlantic College, where he took the IB. He graduated with a BSc (Econ) from the London School of Economics, and an MPhil (Econ) from Cambridge University.

Read more from Kevin

  • Why have stocks gone up?

    Strategy Blog

    Despite unresolved conflict and high human costs, markets rebound as investors look beyond short-term risks. Economic data and earnings remain resilient, oil shocks appear contained, and longer-term outlooks seem largely unchanged—for now, for equities overall.

  • Oil and rates

    Strategy Blog

    Against the backdrop of Middle East conflict, energy disruptions are lifting inflation expectations, pressuring stocks and bonds. Markets now price fewer rate cuts, though growth risks may temper inflation. From here, equities look more vulnerable than bonds overall for now.

  • Gold, the dollar and another new world

    Market Perspective

    Amid rapid shifts driven by AI, changing market leaders and stretched tech valuations, we break down the forces steering today’s investment landscape. From gold’s standout run to a weakening dollar and renewed geopolitical debate, we show why staying disciplined and anchored in fundamentals is key to navigating 2026.

  • Demography and debt revisited

    Strategy Blog

    Aging and debt fears are overstated. Economies can grow through productivity, sensible policies, and innovation. Debt shifts resources but isn’t catastrophic. Crises stem from liquidity, not insolvency, and gold‑standard nostalgia is misplaced.

  • The Three Body Problem

    Strategy Blog

    Since WWII, geopolitics split into East and West, but that model may fade. U.S. assertiveness contrasts Europe’s passivity, hinting at three major players. Outcomes remain unpredictable, investors should stay patient amid inherent market complexity and uncertainty.

  • Lessons for 2026?

    Strategy Blog

    2025 delivered modest growth, easing inflation, and falling rates amid geopolitical tension, fragile ceasefires, and populist pressures. AI hype dominated markets, gold surged, and resilience prevailed despite tariffs, political drama, and valuation risks, setting cautious optimism for 2026.