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Strategy Blog
Germany’s economy shrank in the second quarter – and is currently little bigger than it was in 2019. Two big negative supply shocks will have played a major part, but is something more fundamental at play? In this strategy blog we explore the reasons why.
Victor Balfour
Market Perspective
Global temperatures are rising. In this Market Perspective we reflect on some of the long-term economic questions raised by climate change. We examine its recent inflationary effect and some of the practical issues we encounter when trying to invest sustainably.
Kevin Gardiner, Victor Balfour, Anthony Abrahamian
Should we give US consumer spending the benefit of the doubt? Real wage growth has continued while rising interest rates have not affected all households in a consistent way. In this strategy blog we take a look at the health of the US consumer market.
Anthony Abrahamian
Quarterly Letter
History is littered with examples of people making predictions that later turned out to be inaccurate. How can we become better at forecasting the future? Our Quarterly Letter delves into this topic to investigate some of the perils of making predictions.
Helen Watson
Large companies have typically offered far more attractive returns than their smaller counterparts, but that has changed recently. What’s behind the reversal? In this strategy blog we examine the reasons behind the switch and whether this trend is likely to continue.
Anthony Abrahamian, Kevin Gardiner
As a new manufacturing survey is released in the US, this strategy blog looks at the outlook for the sector and how it could affect the wider economy. Will this lead to an industrial revival across the world? We also assess the impact on Europe and Asia.
In the second round of France's parliamentary election, Marine Le Pen's RN unexpectedly fell from first to third place as a result of widespread tactical voting and targeted withdrawals by other parties. In this blog we assess the potential economic impact of the vote.
Kevin Gardiner
A decisive election result means that Labour will form a government for the first time in 14 years and Sir Keir Starmer will become Prime Minister today. In this strategy blog we take an early look at the potential economic consequences of this change in government.
Insights
We all like to achieve good value for money, but it's particularly important when choosing a wealth manager. You are entrusting someone with you and your family’s financial future, and in this article we outline how to assess the value of a wealth manager.
Donald Nartey
Stocks have continued their ascent during the first half of this year, with the global benchmark up 11% in US dollar terms. As we reach the halfway point in the year, we examine the performance of global stock markets and outline five key things we’ve learnt so far in 2024.
In this strategy blog, we look at the first-round of the French election, and how local markets could be affected by the final verdict.
In this strategy blog, we look at how polls, populists, policies and portfolios are affected by recent, and upcoming macro events.
We pride ourselves on our company culture, values and people at Rothschild & Co Wealth Management UK. Our business is built on the strength of our people and the relationships they have with clients, and we believe this sets us apart from other wealth managers.
Holly Jennings
There are many ways you can grow and preserve your wealth by investing. In this article we discuss how to find an investment style that suits your outlook, examine both ‘top-down’ or ‘bottom-up’ investing strategies, and assess active and passive investing.
Morten Hemdorff, CFA
Wealth can be easily lost if you are not prudent. A wealth manager can help you avoid this fate, but you need to be confident that you're making the right choice. In this article we outline the key questions to ask and how they can hep you meet your financial goals.
James Morrell, Alison Probert
Our second Sustainability Sphere focused on the video games industry and considered how it can better drive positive social impact. Stakeholders asked how do we encourage people to play for the planet, rather than let the planet pay socially and environmentally?
Becky Orme, Laura Negus
A power of attorney allows someone you trust to make decisions on your behalf and can be useful if your mental capabilities decrease, because of illness, accident or old age. In this article we explain how to set up a power of attorney and some key facts to be aware of.
Tom O'Keeffe
The starting pistol has been fired in the general election race, with the vote scheduled to take place on 4 July. In this strategy blog we preview the upcoming campaign and take an early look at the impact the election could have on investors and markets.
It’s been roughly six months since shipping disruptions in the Red Sea began, but what has been the impact on global supply chains? In this blog we take a look at the current state of play and consider whether there may be an impact on goods-related inflation.
President Biden has raised tariffs on critical imports from China, following accusations of unfair trading practices. Falling trade barriers arguably helped foster previous spells of economic prosperity, so should investors be concerned at the return of tough tariffs?
Much has been made of the ‘Magnificent Seven’ technology and AI companies that have boosted the US stock market, but should we be concerned about overconcentration? In this blog we delve into the history of major companies and ask how concentrated is too concentrated?
No two retirement plans look the same, but making sure you have enough money to achieve your goals is key. Use cashflow forecasting to plan for the future, ensure you can enjoy your golden years, and take steps to preserving your wealth.
Paul Lanigan
Cash is offering competitive returns to investors for the first time in years. But does it ever ultimately pay to avoid the stock market altogether? In this blog we crunch the numbers to find out whether ‘time in the market’ really does beat ‘timing the market’.
In this edition of Market Perspective we consider whether investors should be worried about rising levels of US government debt. We also examine the outlook for global inflation and how this could impact central banks’ upcoming interest rate decisions.
The dollar’s current upward momentum looks to have been underpinned by relatively strong US growth. We examine the ‘dollar smile’ theory, which seeks to explain when we should expect strong performance from the greenback, and the impact for investors.
The existing ‘non-dom’ tax regime will be abolished in April 2025. The impact on your finances depends on your existing status and how long you have held it, but non-doms should be reviewing their position now and forming a strategy for the future.
David Kilshaw
Despite geopolitical tensions and shifting expectations of interest rate cuts, financial markets have been remarkably resilient. In this Market Perspective, we discuss the 'higher for longer' monetary policy and assess the importance of mounting US government debt.
Investing is not just about choosing companies that we expect to achieve success in the short term. It’s important to find businesses which can adapt to a changing world and are part of shaping the future. In this article we explore the risks and opportunities they face.
Daniel Drain
Trusts can be an effective way to provide for your family while retaining control, but you must balance the advantages against the administrative and financial costs. In this article we examine the pros and cons of setting up a trust, and potential pitfalls to avoid.
The events of the last couple of years have dramatically increased the geopolitical temperature, shifting the political discourse in favour of security. In this blog we examine the evolving nature of defence and military equipment, and what it could mean for investors.
Earnings growth is rising in the United States, suggesting the market could have passed a turning point. Ahead of the release of first quarter earnings figures, we consider what this means for investors and examine how earnings expectations can be fallible.
Oil prices are up by a fifth since January, but should we be worried this will sustain higher inflation? We consider how demand may be firming up as the depressed manufacturing sector picks up, and the impact that could have on demand for raw inputs like oil.
In our first Sustainability Spheres event, industry experts discussed the future of ‘fast fashion’, a model which dominates the sector but has been criticised for being unsustainable. Attendees were asked how the industry can embed sustainable practices into their models.
More than 50 countries will hold an election in 2024, with more than 40% of the world’s population eligible to vote. We examine how elections can come to dominate our conversations and thinking, and how it pays to take a step back and consider the long-term view.
Democracy is said to be in crisis, but is that actually the case? And would it affect portfolios if it is? We outline why we think the global business cycle will likely remain the day-to-day driver of portfolios, regardless of what happens at the ballot box.
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