Insights

The UK Budget lacked any last-minute surprises, with no rabbit pulled from the fiscal hat during Jeremy Hunt's latest statement. In this blog we scrutinise the Office for Budgetary Responsibility's latest forecast and examine the wider economic outlook

Politics may well affect portfolios in 2024, but we know that the business cycle certainly will. In this Market Perspective, we examine the outlook for inflation, the case for and against investing in China, and whether stocks are currently being overvalued.

Regional divergence remained significant at the end of 2023. Although the impacts of high interest rates and the withdrawal of fiscal support are expected to weigh on growth in 2024, investors are keeping their sanguine outlook as they foresee fast interest rate cuts. Yet, resilient labour markets and renewed pressures on supply chains could require a tighter monetary policy stance than expected, upsetting investors’ high hopes.

While the US election is far from a foregone conclusion, opinion polls point towards to a change of leadership in the UK. However, setting any personal political sympathies aside, in what ways can a change of government affect investors and the wider economic picture?

It can be difficult to for entrepreneurs to know when to sell a business. In this article we discuss how to find the right time to conduct a business sell, how to avoid the most common mistakes and examine the different sale options available to company owners.

Global financial conditions have eased based on confidence that inflation will fall further and central banks will ease their monetary policies without a significant fall in economic activity. This wave of optimism has been boosted by the resilience of the US economy and the surprising shift in the Federal Reserve’s communication. Is the US the canary in the coal mine?

Global equities rose again in December (+4.8% in USD terms), alongside government bonds (+2.9% in USD, hedged terms).

With elections in the US and UK on the horizon, plus the risk of recession, there are many reasons for investors to stay out of the market. But by waiting to board the train, do investors risk missing it altogether?

Economic growth in advanced economies has been very weak in Q3-23, but the US was the notable exception, giving the impression the global economy remained resilient. Are we on a path of ‘immaculate disinflation’, or is the fall in inflation increasingly the reflection of a deteriorating economy?

In the latest episode of our Perspectives podcast, Laura Künlen and Laurent Gagnebin, CEO of Rothschild & Co Bank AG, delve into his career journey, the motivations behind Rothschild's delisting, the significance of loyalty in shaping a firm's culture, and the parallels between the worlds of finance and music.

The tax implications of selling an asset are often overlooked, and this can leave investors with an unwanted and unnecessary capital gains tax (CGT) liability. In this article we examine who pays CGT, the allowances available to investors and some useful ways to minimise liability.

Money and bond markets suggest interest rates are about to plateau. But has groupthink affected our expectations? In this Market Perspective we ask what investors can do about bias. Plus, we examine the latest inflation figures.

What is life at the investment helm like? What are the skills needed to be a CIO? And what does the current investment environment look like?

Most investors continue to foresee the resilience of the global economy despite the fastest global monetary policy tightening in four decades. However, not only the impacts of the latter are increasingly visible on economic activity, but the rise in crude oil prices and higher bond yields since midyear have raised new concerns regarding the goldilocks scenario.

In this Strategy blog, we take a look at how bond yields are reaching new highs, and the impact this is having on bonds and stocks.

The 12th edition of Mosaique Insights takes a closer look at an industry that has experienced significant transformations in recent years and explore how we can assist our clients in navigating complex market environments. Additionally, we shed light on the asset class of private markets and take you on a trip to the United States with our equity research team.