Insights

Metals are crucial for daily life and the economy. Our fourth Sustainability Sphere discusses sustainable mining practices. Technology and mining share a symbiotic relationship; and they can drive each other towards a greener, zero-carbon future.

Germany faces political uncertainty as coalition negotiations unfold, but its European commitments remain intact. Meanwhile, market impact from President Trump’s Ukraine rhetoric appears limited, with European defence spending set to rise as expected.

A trade conflict with the US’s closest economic partners might begin soon, and all indications are that these actions are a start to a widening trade war. The complete ramifications are unknown, yet the cost of uncertainty could be large and increases the risk of stagflation.

Major economies continue to grow, and debt remains manageable. Market fears of a debt spiral appear overstated, with policy flexibility and global demand for government bonds providing long-term financial stability and resilience.

Venture Capital activity grew in 2024 for the first time since 2021 with Pitchbook estimating that global funding for VC backed firms increased by 5% yoy, from $349bn in 2023 to $368bn in 2024. In January’s update we make ten predictions for the growth equity market in 2025. Led by AI and associated industries we think the level of VC funding will grow again in 2025- not a bonanza but a year of solid growth.

In 2024, global growth has remained stable and world trade has been recovering, while price pressures continued to ebb. Investors project that this resilience will continue in 2025, with inflation further converging towards central banks’ targets. However, this outlook masks significant differences across sectors and countries, and is surrounded by important uncertainties.

In December’s edition we review the biggest deals in growth equity in 2024 on both sides of the Atlantic. A strong end to the year fuelled by AI deals meant our US Deal Monitor recorded 113 raises of $200m+ raising $82bn in 2024, well ahead of 2023’s $44bn. Europe started strongly and then faded. Our Deal Monitor shows a 2024 ytd total of $32.3bn modestly ahead of 2023 with Climate Tech, AI and software leading. Meanwhile Wall Street strategists anticipate a c10% rise in the S&P 500 in 2025.

Redburn Atlantic’s most recent Review explores investment in AI following the conclusion of the hype cycle, the possibility of new trade wars under the second Trump administration, the impact of social media on ecommerce, the rapid rise of Private Markets, ‘Super Tuscan’ Wines, and much more. 

Global equities rose by 3.7% in November (USD terms), while global government bonds returned 1.1% (USD, hedged terms).

Emotions can be very persuasive, especially where money is concerned. In this article, we look at why some people have reservations about investing for the first time, or increasing the amount they have invested. We explain how creating and sticking to a plan can help.

In November's edition, shareholders of VC companies are turning to the secondary market as a tool for interim liquidity. we review recent deals in the buoyant VC secondaries market and look at some of its new dedicated funds. Meanwhile, one in three US venture capital dollars raised in 2024 have gone to AI with more big deals in the offing.

Wealth can offer a lot of benefits to a family, but can also bring pressure. A long-term financial plan should ensure your wealth is protected against inflation and is in the best position to grow. In this article, we will talk you through a 60-year financial plan.

The US economy and its capital markets continue to dominate global thinking, but how long can that last? The US market has, in total return terms, outperformed the rest of the world, by roughly 200% since 2007. In this strategy blog we ask: what happens next?

This issue of Insights centres on the U.S. in light of its upcoming elections, featuring insights from our Chief Investment Officer and analyses from our Global Investment Strategist and Fixed Income team. We also share findings from a recent U.S. road trip, explore the potential of robotics, and discuss the evolving U.S.-Swiss relationship.

Global equities moved higher by 2.3% in September (USD terms), while global government bonds returned 1.1% (USD, hedged terms).

Spreading conflict in the Middle East is alarming, particularly when viewed alongside other ongoing geopolitical challenges. While there are no infallible guides to how global markets will respond, in this blog we discuss some of the potential economic consequences.