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Five observations from stock markets in 2025
Strategy Blog
Middle East tensions raise oil price risks, but markets remain calm. History shows geopolitical shocks don’t always trigger financial turmoil.
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Middle East conflict
Strategy Blog
Middle East tensions raise oil price risks, but markets remain calm. History shows geopolitical shocks don’t always trigger financial turmoil.
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May: US tariff policy moderates
Monthly Market Summary
Global equities rose by 5.7% in May (USD terms), while global government bond returns were down by 0.5% (USD, hedged terms).
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Why have long-term interest rates risen?
Strategy Blog
The previous blog shows how market expectations of likely cuts in short-term interest rates have been evolving. Those changes will have had some influence on longer-dated yields too.
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Interest rates: further room to fall?
Strategy Blog
In June, major central banks meet: Fed and BoE may pause, while ECB and SNB are expected to cut rates amid diverging policy paths.
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Fresh news or fresh noise?
Perspectives podcast
In this episode, we examine the implications of the US budget proposal, renewed tariff tensions, and a cautiously optimistic signal from Germany