Insights

Investors are hoping for accommodative monetary policy in a stable economic environment, with “insurance” or “normalization” rate cuts. However, the Goldilocks scenario is increasingly being tested as adverse inflation dynamics clash with a weakening labour market.

The global economy started 2025 on a solid footing as businesses and consumers rushed to front-run US tariffs by producing and buying more goods. Although several factors have unfolded more constructively than feared, was the drop in economic activity averted, or only delayed?

In the July edition we review Growth Equity activity in H1 2025. Led by AI, the value of US VC company fundraises rose 2.6x yoy to $121bn in H1 2025. European VC raises of $20m+ saw a 23% yoy advance in value. Exit value is picking up but new fundraising by VC firms remains subdued.

Die globalen Aktienmärkte legten im Mai um 5,7 % (in USD) zu, während deutsche Bundesanleihen mit einer Laufzeit von zehn Jahren eine leichte negative Performance von -0,2 % aufwiesen.

Economic activity remained relatively resilient in early 2025, although this stability was supported by temporary factors. In fact, global growth projections have been revised markedly down in recent weeks, reflecting tariff rates at levels not seen in a century and a highly unpredictable environment, while inflation risks have increased.

Die globalen Aktienmärkte legten im April um 0,9 % (in USD) zu, während deutsche Bundesanleihen mit einer Laufzeit von zehn Jahren eine Performance von 2,4 % erzielten.

Globale Aktien fielen im März um 4,0 % (in USD), die Renditen globaler Staatsanleihen sanken um 0,5 % (in USD, abgesichert).

Our view of the long term is indelibly shaped by our 200-year history as a business. In this Quarterly Letter, we re-emphasise what 'long term' means to us, and how it shapes our approach to wealth management and investing.

Globale Aktien fielen im Februar um 0,6 % (in USD), während globale Staatsanleihen eine Rendite von 1,0 % (in USD, abgesichert) erzielten.

Globale Aktien stiegen im Januar um 3,4 % (in USD), während globale Staatsanleihen 0,3 % (in USD, abgesichert) gewannen.

Professionals have a lot of questions about their finances and often do not have the time to manage them alone. In this article we wanted to discuss some of the questions we are asked most frequently and offer some guidance on the key factors you should consider.

We are often asked why we focus on wealth preservation. We know growth is important, but we also want to achieve this in a prudent way and avoid any irrecoverable losses on the way. In this Quarterly Letter, we discuss some of the ways we try to do that.

In December’s edition we review the biggest deals in growth equity in 2024 on both sides of the Atlantic. A strong end to the year fuelled by AI deals meant our US Deal Monitor recorded 113 raises of $200m+ raising $82bn in 2024, well ahead of 2023’s $44bn. Europe started strongly and then faded. Our Deal Monitor shows a 2024 ytd total of $32.3bn modestly ahead of 2023 with Climate Tech, AI and software leading. Meanwhile Wall Street strategists anticipate a c10% rise in the S&P 500 in 2025.

Financial markets are often volatile and can be hard to predict over the short term. However, staying invested over longer time periods can help minimise this volatility. In this article we explore how timing the market and getting it wrong can impact your wealth.

Globale Aktien stiegen im November um 3,7 % (in USD), während globale Staatsanleihen eine Rendite von 1,1 % erzielten (in USD, abgesichert).