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  • Blue abstract patterns
    Quarterly Letter

    Meeting Mr. Market

    Mr Market, one of Benjamin Graham’s famous allegories, depicts an imaginary investor who swings wildly from optimism to pessimism. In this Quarterly Letter, we examine how our investment approach can outsmart Mr Market’s mercurial nature and help us make better investment decisions.
    • Helen Watson
  • Market Commentary

    Asset Management Europe: Monthly Macro Insights – April 2023

    The global economy started the year on a firmer note than feared. Yet, core inflation is still stubbornly high while banking sector woes make it clear that the most aggressive tightening cycle in decades is taking its toll. Correspondingly, central banks will have to balance the risks between price and financial stability.
    • Marc-Antoine Collard
  • Insights

    Comentario mensual de mercado: Marzo 2023

    A pesar de la preocupación por el sistema bancario (el índice MSCI World Banks cayó un 12,2%), la renta variable mundial subió un 3,1% y la deuda pública mundial repuntó un 3,7% en marzo (ambos en USD, sin cobertura). Más información en el último Resumen mensual de mercados de Wealth Management Switzerland.
  • MP - March-April 2023.jpg
    Market Commentary

    Market Perspective - The butterfly's wings

    Is the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) —and other recent banking system events—the butterfly that will cause a financial tornado? This edition of Market Perspective provides an update on the banking system and how inflation is continuing to moderate, albeit patchily.
    • Kevin Gardiner
    • Victor Balfour
  • podcast
    Market Perspective

    Perspectives Podcast: The Butterfly's Wings

    Few would have predicted recent tumultuous events in the banking sector. In the latest episode of Perspectives from Wealth Management Switzerland, Laura Künlen and Global Investment Strategists Kevin Gardiner and Victor Balfour provide an update on the banking sector and discuss what this means for investors.
    • Laura Künlen
    • Victor Balfour
  • The outside wall of glass and steel of Rothschild & Co's New Court office in  London
    Market Commentary

    Asset Management Europe: Monthly Macro Insights - March 2023

    Despite cautious central bank communication about the policy outlook, particularly in view of the persistent strength of labour markets, investors were expecting rate cuts in the second half of 2023 amid a fall in global inflation. Yet, recent macroeconomic data has poured cold water on their quick disinflation sanguine view.
    • Marc-Antoine Collard
  • Cover - wesbite listing (gold).png
    Market Perspective

    Perspectives: A Female Legacy

    This International Women's Day we open the door to the Rothschild Archive. In the latest episode Wealth Management Switzerland's Perspectives podcast, Laura Künlen and Melanie Aspey, Director of the Rothschild Archive, shed light on how the women of the Rothschild family shaped the early days of the business and how their legacy translates till today.
    • Melanie Aspey
    • Laura Künlen
  • Insights

    Comentario mensual de mercado: Febrero 2023

    Febrero resultó ser un mes difícil para los mercados de capitales, ya que el nuevo riesgo de tipos de interés derivado de un mayor endurecimiento de la política monetaria ocupó un lugar central. Tanto la renta variable mundial como la deuda pública cayeron el mes pasado.
  • Cover - wesbite listing9.png
    Market Perspective

    Perspectives: Growth Fears Overdone

    Will there be a recession? Is inflation indeed fading? And is it time for eurozone stocks to outperform? Find out more in the latest instalment of the Perspectives podcast.
    • Kevin Gardiner
    • Victor Balfour
  • Zoomed in image of a Euro note
    Market Commentary

    Market Perspective - Growth fears overdone

    Falling real income, rising inflation, and monetary tightening have led to a sense of economic fatalism. However, throughout Europe, the UK, and the US, signs are suggesting a (hopeful) turn of events, making for a better outlook for the year ahead.
    • Kevin Gardiner
    • Victor Balfour
  • Close up of the top floors of  Rothschild & Co's New Court office in London
    Market Commentary

    Asset Management Europe: Monthly Macro Insights - February 2023

    Investors strongly believe that central banks are almost finished with their tightening campaign amid a fall in global inflation, and that policy rates will be lowered as soon as the second half of 2023. Still, uncertainty around this Goldilocks scenario remains elevated.
  • Insights

    Monthly Market Summary: January 2023

    Capital markets experienced a difficult February, as renewed interest rate risk from further monetary tightening moved into focus. Both global equites and government bonds fell last month.
  • Insights

    Strategy blog: UK mortgage rates

    After recent record low interest rates, variable and fixed mortgage rates are surging to levels not seen since the Global Financial Crisis. In this Strategy Blog, we consider whether fixed or variable is the better option in the ever-evolving economic environment.
  • Cover - wesbite listing9.png
    Market Perspective

    Perspectives Podcast: The Economic Mist Clears

    A war in Europe, an energy crisis, shades of the 1970’s – inflation and industrial unrest – and sharply rising interest rates. Just to name a few themes that dominated the economic and investment world in 2022. But what about 2023?
    • Kevin Gardiner
    • Victor Balfour
  • Insights

    Strategy blog: Farewell 2022

    2022 was a tumultuous year: war, an energy crisis, and rising interest rates to name just a few main factors leading to a gloomy market sentiment. As a new year begins, Victor Balfour reflects back on the mood of 2022.
    • Victor Balfour
  • Insights

    Comentario mensual de mercado: Diciembre 2022

    Diciembre fue un mes difícil para los mercados de capitales, ya que el apetito por el riesgo disminuyó a pesar de que la inflación estadounidense fue mejor de lo esperado: la renta variable mundial cayó y la deuda pública mundial también retrocedió.
  • Close up photo of wax stamps on parchment paper
    Quarterly Letter

    Leaving a legacy

    As a family-run business in its seventh generation, our focus is on the long term: to preserve and grow your wealth not only for this generation but for those to come. In this Quarterly Letter, we discuss the important issues surrounding legacies and succession.
    • Helen Watson
  • Insights

    Strategy blog: Happier new year?

    This year has come to a close, but the effects of world events on the market persist. Looking to 2023, we pose two main questions to help determine from an investment perspective whether to put liquidity back to work.
    • Kevin Gardiner
  • Insights

    Strategy blog: A monetary round-up

    Recent policy moves by the four western central banks took the total interest rate increase in the last year to nearly twelve percentage points. In this Strategy blog, we take a look at the current inflationary episode and the ensuing effects on the economic environment.
    • Kevin Gardiner
  • Zoomed in image of a swiss franc note
    Market Commentary

    Market Perspective - The economic mist clears

    With geopolitical risk still present and impossible for markets to ignore (though tensions may not necessarily increase further), we are left facing the cyclical question of whether inflation can subside without an economic slump.
    • Kevin Gardiner
    • Victor Balfour
  • Insights

    Strategy blog - Industrial unrest: back to the 1970s?

    This year, industrial action has been on the rise as demands for higher pay to compensate for real wage growth and inflation levels reaching multi-decade highs, causing some to create parallels to the 1970s. In this Strategy Blog, we discuss why we think these parallels are exaggerated.
  • Insights

    Comentario mensual de mercado: Noviembre 2022

    En octubre, las expectativas de una ralentización del ritmo de las subidas de los tipos de interés y una temporada de resultados mejor de lo esperado impulsaron el sentimiento: la renta variable mundial subió considerablemente, mientras que la deuda pública mundial se mantuvo sin cambios.
  • Insights

    Strategy blog: UK Autumn Statement - final thoughts

    The UK Autumn Statement reflected a near-term loosening of fiscal stance, perhaps a surprise given the general talk of 'Austerity II' beforehand. In this Strategy Blog, we share our thoughts on the statement.
    • Kevin Gardiner
  • Market Commentary

    Asset Management Europe: Monthly Macro Insights – November 2022

    The world economy continues to face strong headwinds. Markets remain hopeful that central banks will soon pause the tightening campaign and give economic activity a breather, although the stubborn persistence of inflation could dampen those hopes.
  • Insights

    Strategy blog: Are we nearly there yet?

    At present, inflation rates have characteristics of being transitionary yet permanent, putting us at a crossroads. Will the inflation surge peak soon or will it gradually subside? It’s a matter of staying the course to see what direction inflation rates go.
    • Kevin Gardiner
  • Zoomed in image of a £20 note
    Market Commentary

    Market Perspective - The old normal

    The fiscal fiasco of the former PM’s minibudget put the UK economy centre stage – adding to the fiscal, monetary and geopolitical headlines. Looking beyond these issues, this edition of Market Perspective examines threats to growth, inflation and broader systemic risks.
    • Kevin Gardiner
    • Victor Balfour
  • Insights

    Comentario mensual de mercado: Octubre 2022

    En octubre, las expectativas de una ralentización del ritmo de las subidas de los tipos de interés y una temporada de resultados mejor de lo esperado impulsaron el sentimiento: la renta variable mundial subió considerablemente, mientras que la deuda pública mundial se mantuvo sin cambios.
  • Insights

    Strategy blog: UK – another new PM

    The UK is set to have another new Prime Minister, after the recent incumbent’s short tenure. In this Strategy Blog, we observe the latest developments in the UK.
    • Kevin Gardiner
  • Market Commentary

    Asset Management Europe: Monthly Macro Insights – October 2022

    Global economic growth is faltering markedly and indicators point to an extended period of subdued growth. Although easing bottleneck pressures points to a material drop in inflation during the second half of 2022, will this be enough to calm central banks?
  • Insights

    Comentario mensual de mercado: Septiembre 2022

    En septiembre, la preocupación por una recesión mundial y el endurecimiento monetario afectaron duramente a los mercados de capitales: tanto la renta variable como la deuda pública mundial bajaron mientras la Fed y el BCE continuaban su ciclo de endurecimiento.
  • Investment / strategy

    Quarterly Letter - Navigating challenging investment seas

    Plain sailing. Batten down the hatches. Strong headwinds. When describing markets, it's common to call upon maritime metaphors to convey uncertainty. In the current economic landscape, we find ourselves reaching for them again.
    • Helen Watson
  • Insights

    Strategy blog: Interest rates - are we nearly there yet?

    At different paces, and with varying displays of conviction and credibility, western central banks are continuing to raise interest rates, closing the stable door ever more firmly as the inflation horse canters merrily on the horizon. As we write, the rates priced into the money markets suggest that US, eurozone and UK policy rates will peak at 4.6%, 2.9% and 4.9% respectively, and will do so during 2023. Swiss rates are expected to peak at 2.2%, during 2024.
    • Kevin Gardiner
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