Chief Economist and Director of Economic Research
Marc-Antoine is Chief Economist and Director of Economic Research at Rothschild & Co Wealth and Asset Management since 2014. Furthermore, he is lecturer in Economics at Sciences Po Paris since 2012.
Previously, he began his career as an economist at the Department of Finance of Canada (2004-05) in Ottawa and was then recruited as strategist-economist for CDPQ Caisse de Dépôt et Placement du Québec (2005-10). Marc-Antoine moved to France as Country risk economist for the Americas and Middle East, and Head of Commodities Research at Société Générale (2011-14).
Market Commentary
Over the past months, narratives dominated by central bank tightening producing an inevitable recession have faded from the scene. However, the economic outlook remains particularly uncertain amid further deterioration in business confidence.
Market Commentary
After some resilience in early 2023, the economic outlook remains particularly uncertain amid further deterioration in business confidence. Yet, investors continue to foresee a soft landing.
Market Commentary
Investors remain convinced that inflation is likely to come down without much of a hit to economic growth. However, there is not much historical precedent for such an outcome, especially since monetary tightening is not completed, and the effects of higher policy rates are yet to be felt completely.
Market Commentary
Recent surveys have hinted at a slowdown in economic growth, but underlying inflation is proving more persistent, pressuring central banks to hike rates further. Yet, how tightening credit conditions interact with already restrictive monetary policy stances is a key uncertainty.
Market Commentary
While tracking a firmer pace than feared in Q1-23 GDP, incoming reports suggest much of the strength can be attributed to China. Meanwhile, central banks have continued their tightening campaign amid stubbornly firm wage growth and sticky core inflation. Will they continue until something breaks?
Market Commentary
The global economy started the year on a firmer note than feared. Yet, core inflation is still stubbornly high while banking sector woes make it clear that the most aggressive tightening cycle in decades is taking its toll. Correspondingly, central banks will have to balance the risks between price and financial stability.
