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  • Insights

    Strategy blog: Interest rates - are we nearly there yet?

    At different paces, and with varying displays of conviction and credibility, western central banks are continuing to raise interest rates, closing the stable door ever more firmly as the inflation horse canters merrily on the horizon. As we write, the rates priced into the money markets suggest that US, eurozone and UK policy rates will peak at 4.6%, 2.9% and 4.9% respectively, and will do so during 2023. Swiss rates are expected to peak at 2.2%, during 2024.
  • Insights

    Strategy blog: Sterling

    Sterling has fallen further after the UK's "fiscal event", making higher interest rates even more likely. However, its all-round weakness is being overstated, as is the threat to the UK government's creditworthiness.
  • Insights

    Thematic Insights – The Asian Century

    Within the world’s largest and most dynamic continent, Emerging Asia includes many of the fastest growing and largest economies such as China, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam.
  • Investment / strategy

    Geopolitical risk: the comeback

    International tensions and geopolitical risk – which have rarely given rise to major market inflections and have often been relegated to the background by investors – are now back in the spotlight.
  • Insights

    Strategy blog: The end of TINA?

    It is the worst calendar year return (so far) for bonds, some value may finally be re-emerging in the high-quality government bonds that comprise the core of the global market. Is it time to retire the acronym TINA (‘There is No Alternative’)?
  • Market Commentary

    Market Perspective - Climbing the Wall

    The sticky nature of today’s inflation remains the key risk to the global growth outlook. In this Market Perspective, we explore the macro and market backdrop – including a deep dive into the global inflation trajectory – along with the upcoming political calendar.
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