Insights

Global equities declined further in September, by 4.1% (USD terms), and global government bonds also fell by 1.6% (USD, hedged terms).

The 12th edition of Mosaique Insights takes a closer look at an industry that has experienced significant transformations in recent years and explore how we can assist our clients in navigating complex market environments. Additionally, we shed light on the asset class of private markets and take you on a trip to the United States with our equity research team.

Interest rates are still rising, turning government bonds into an attractive option for investors looking to preserve their wealth. In this Market Perspective we assess how bonds now compare to stocks, and examine falling global inflation.

Psychiatrist and explorer Dr. Bertrand Piccard made aviation history with his successive non-stop around the globe flights in a balloon and a solar airplane. In our interview, we trace back his aeronautic firsts, discuss the importance of perseverance and make the case for Switzerland's investment opportunities, as a country rife with high-tech innovation.

Economies are holding up better than many feared, though we are not quite out of the cyclical woods yet. In this edition of Market Perspective, we analyse the current state of the global economy, update our ‘Inflation Watch’, and discuss AI in context.

Global equities rebounded by 5.8% in June (USD terms), while global government bonds edged lower by 0.1% (USD, hedged terms).

In this Strategy blog, we take a look at how a few different economies have performed around the world: Japan, China, the United Kingdom, and Greece.

Headline inflation rates have turned lower, spending power is getting some relief, and transatlantic business surveys have softened. But there are still geopolitical, environmental, and social concerns impacting the long-term outlook. We provide an update on the macroeconomic environment.

Capital markets were quiescent in April: global equities rose by 1.4%, while global government bonds edged higher by 0.1% (USD, unhedged terms). 

The 11th edition of Mosaique Insights takes a closer look at the first three months of 2023, unpacks the outlook for Fixed Income and sheds some light on the Private Markets asset class. This edition also features an interview with a data science professor who will discuss most recent developments in the artificial intelligence space. Furthermore, we will present Rothschild & Co's philanthropic group approach to empower future generations.

The US debt ceiling is currently at $31.4tn and the total stock of outstanding government debt reached this level back in January. Since then, unable to issue any new debt, the Treasury has been depleting its cash balance. Despite this, we discuss why we believe the US will not default.

Family businesses are the backbone of the global economy and have been firmly rooted in society for centuries. In our latest Investment Views, we explore the secrets to the success of family businesses and highlight one inspiring example of a family-owned company which can look back on a 128-year history.

As focus shifts from the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank last week to the solvency Credit Suisse, central bank interventions have soothed fears of the contagion spreading. In this strategy blog our team analyses why our overall risk appetite remains unchanged.

Idiosyncratic headwinds compounded by losses on its treasury and mortgage-backed security portfolio lead to the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. Are there signs of contagion? In this Strategy blog, we analyse the situation around the collapse and consider further risks.

Lower commodity prices, including energy prices, are trickling down to consumers, affecting both sides of the Atlantic slightly differently. In this strategy blog, we examine how the energy crisis has abated a year after the outbreak of war in Ukraine and its impact.

Capital markets experienced a difficult February, as renewed interest rate risk from further monetary tightening moved into focus. Both global equites and government bonds fell last month.

As incoming data shows inflation rolling over—despite low unemployment—the good news may not last. But what happens next? In this Strategy Blog, we discuss the state of inflation and why interest rates look more like plateaus than peaks, leaving us at odds with the money markets.

Falling real income, rising inflation, and monetary tightening have led to a sense of economic fatalism. However, throughout Europe, the UK, and the US, signs are suggesting a (hopeful) turn of events, making for a better outlook for the year ahead.

Currently, Private Debt investors benefit from attractive yields of 7% to 10% per annum. We compare the characteristics of Private Debt to other fixed income segments and equities, highlight its advantages and examine the risks in case of an economic stress scenario.

Economists continue to cast a pall of gloom over economic forecasts, questioning future output and growth. In this Strategy Blog, we discuss the supposed gloomy outlook and put into perspective the new opportunities and incentives for useful economic activity.

A war in Europe, an energy crisis, shades of the 1970’s – inflation and industrial unrest – and sharply rising interest rates. Just to name a few themes that dominated the economic and investment world in 2022. But what about 2023?

2022 was a tumultuous year: war, an energy crisis, and rising interest rates to name just a few main factors leading to a gloomy market sentiment. As a new year begins, Victor Balfour reflects back on the mood of 2022.

December was a challenging month for capital markets as risk appetite abated despite a better-than-expected US inflation print: global equites fell, and global government bonds also declined.

This year has come to a close, but the effects of world events on the market persist. Looking to 2023, we pose two main questions to help determine from an investment perspective whether to put liquidity back to work.