Against a backdrop of resilience of the global economy and the rise of artificial intelligence, Didier Bouvignies, General Partner and CIO at Rothschild & Co Asset Management, reflects on the key drivers behind the first-half market rally and shares his outlook for the second half.
Investments linked to artificial intelligence continue to support global growth, but they are also contributing to a sustained rise in long-term interest rates. At the same time, geopolitical tensions and uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve’s communication are maintaining a more fragile economic environment.
Many business owners accumulate cash without a clear strategy. By separating operational, reserve and surplus capital, businesses can improve resilience, reduce concentration risk, manage tax considerations more effectively, and ensure excess cash supports longer-term business and personal objectives.
Japan’s yen has weakened sharply, reviving concerns over carry-trade unwinding and global market volatility. Yet Japan’s stronger growth, rising wages, higher inflation, corporate reforms, and improving shareholder focus suggest a structural economic revival, though sustained profitability remains the key test.