Against a backdrop of resilience of the global economy and the rise of artificial intelligence, Didier Bouvignies, General Partner and CIO at Rothschild & Co Asset Management, reflects on the key drivers behind the first-half market rally and shares his outlook for the second half.
Investments linked to artificial intelligence continue to support global growth, but they are also contributing to a sustained rise in long-term interest rates. At the same time, geopolitical tensions and uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve’s communication are maintaining a more fragile economic environment.
In recent years, Artificial Intelligence (AI) has taken centre stage, fuelled by spectacular promises and applications that are now very much a reality. We have already noted on several occasions that this revolution is underpinned by less visible building blocks, such as strategic metals, data centres and electricity grids. Recent developments invite us to broaden that perspective even further.
Die Spannungen im Nahen Osten bleiben hoch. Nachdem eine Waffenruhe zwischen den USA und dem Iran Anfang Juli zusammengebrochen war, wurden die Angriffe zunächst wieder aufgenommen.
Many business owners accumulate cash without a clear strategy. By separating operational, reserve and surplus capital, businesses can improve resilience, reduce concentration risk, manage tax considerations more effectively, and ensure excess cash supports longer-term business and personal objectives.
Japan’s yen has weakened sharply, reviving concerns over carry-trade unwinding and global market volatility. Yet Japan’s stronger growth, rising wages, higher inflation, corporate reforms, and improving shareholder focus suggest a structural economic revival, though sustained profitability remains the key test.