Insights

Not all AI. The strength of VC funding growth (up 3x ytd in the US, up 20% In Europe) is led by AI but it’s not the whole story. To the end of April funding for ‘non-AI’ companies is up 67% yoy in the US and 14% in Europe. Software, biotech and fintech are all prominent – we look at what’s driving this.

Economic activity remained relatively resilient in early 2025, although this stability was supported by temporary factors. In fact, global growth projections have been revised markedly down in recent weeks, reflecting tariff rates at levels not seen in a century and a highly unpredictable environment, while inflation risks have increased.

We review a strong Q1 for the value of Growth Equity raises on both sides of the Atlantic ( US +48% yoy, Europe +22%) and the potential impact of the ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs on trading conditions for venture backed firms, the flow of funding into the asset class and valuation.

Global growth remained relatively resilient in early 2025. However, front-loading of global trade flows, particularly between Asia and North America, greatly distorted the reality. In fact, stagflation and recession risks have both increased significantly.

Our view of the long term is indelibly shaped by our 200-year history as a business. In this Quarterly Letter, we re-emphasise what 'long term' means to us, and how it shapes our approach to wealth management and investing.

Redburn Atlantic’s most recent Review explores investment in AI following the conclusion of the hype cycle, the possibility of new trade wars under the second Trump administration, the impact of social media on ecommerce, the rapid rise of Private Markets, ‘Super Tuscan’ Wines, and much more. 

Metals are crucial for daily life and the economy. Our fourth Sustainability Sphere discusses sustainable mining practices. Technology and mining share a symbiotic relationship; and they can drive each other towards a greener, zero-carbon future.

The Mansion House Initiative has ten of the UK’s largest pension providers committing 5% of ‘default’ funds from DC pensions to private assets by 2030, hoping to free up £75bn of growth financing. Ahead of the second anniversary of the Mansion House reforms we take a deep dive into funding conditions for UK private companies.

In this Market Perspective we examine President Trump’s economic policies, geopolitical risks, and market dynamics. As well as the potential impacts on global markets, trade relationships, and investment strategies.

Optimism around the potential ability of new technologies driven by artificial intelligence to transform industries is driving the venture capital market forward. At the start of 2025 AI continues to dominate VC fundraising and at rapidly growing valuations. The FTSE Venture Capital Index is just 6% off its August 2021 highs and we are seeing a resurgence in interest in sectors like fintech and biotech. As one VC commentator has remarked. ’We are so back baby’.

A trade conflict with the US’s closest economic partners might begin soon, and all indications are that these actions are a start to a widening trade war. The complete ramifications are unknown, yet the cost of uncertainty could be large and increases the risk of stagflation.

In 2024, global growth has remained stable and world trade has been recovering, while price pressures continued to ebb. Investors project that this resilience will continue in 2025, with inflation further converging towards central banks’ targets. However, this outlook masks significant differences across sectors and countries, and is surrounded by important uncertainties.

La renta variable mundial bajó un 2,4% en diciembre (en USD), mientras que la deuda pública mundial cayó un 0,7% (en USD, en términos cubiertos).

We are often asked why we focus on wealth preservation. We know growth is important, but we also want to achieve this in a prudent way and avoid any irrecoverable losses on the way. In this Quarterly Letter, we discuss some of the ways we try to do that.

In December’s edition we review the biggest deals in growth equity in 2024 on both sides of the Atlantic. A strong end to the year fuelled by AI deals meant our US Deal Monitor recorded 113 raises of $200m+ raising $82bn in 2024, well ahead of 2023’s $44bn. Europe started strongly and then faded. Our Deal Monitor shows a 2024 ytd total of $32.3bn modestly ahead of 2023 with Climate Tech, AI and software leading. Meanwhile Wall Street strategists anticipate a c10% rise in the S&P 500 in 2025.

While global growth has proved resilient to policy tightening, significant divergences have emerged across countries, and the outcome of the US election has increased the risks for that trend to amplify. Furthermore, by choosing not to act on any assumptions about what the incoming US administration might enact, combined with the long and variable lags of monetary policy, the Fed will struggle to contain the economic consequences of Donald Trump’s priorities.

Financial markets are often volatile and can be hard to predict over the short term. However, staying invested over longer time periods can help minimise this volatility. In this article we explore how timing the market and getting it wrong can impact your wealth.

La renta variable mundial subió un 3,7% en noviembre (en USD), mientras que la deuda pública mundial dio un 1,1% (en USD, en términos cubiertos).

Emotions can be very persuasive, especially where money is concerned. In this article, we look at why some people have reservations about investing for the first time, or increasing the amount they have invested. We explain how creating and sticking to a plan can help.

The Rothschild family’s connection to Manchester stretches back to 1799. In this special article we explore the historic ties between the family and the city, and how Rothschild & Co continues to support innovation and entrepreneurship in Manchester to this day.

The outcome of the US election has increased the risks for the global economy, as trade wars and higher interest rates have the potential to derail the resilience of growth. Furthermore, regional divergences could widen as Europe and China will likely be facing a challenging environment, although policymakers have tools to mitigate the impact of Trump’s agenda

In November's edition, shareholders of VC companies are turning to the secondary market as a tool for interim liquidity. we review recent deals in the buoyant VC secondaries market and look at some of its new dedicated funds. Meanwhile, one in three US venture capital dollars raised in 2024 have gone to AI with more big deals in the offing.

Wealth can offer a lot of benefits to a family, but can also bring pressure. A long-term financial plan should ensure your wealth is protected against inflation and is in the best position to grow. In this article, we will talk you through a 60-year financial plan.

We are now entering the final act of this dramatic 60th presidential election. The polls are too close to call, yet the candidates’ positions could hardly be more polarised. In this election essay we examine the potential economic repercussions of the upcoming vote.

In October’s edition, we look at the details of OpenAI’s recent $6.6bn raise, who invested and who didn’t, at the financials and at the state of OpenAI as its mission shifts awy from capped profit status. Meanwhile global VC fundraising in Q3 was twice the level of Q1 and September was a robust month for VC backed company raises on both sides of the Atlantic.

The global economy grapples with a faltering goods sector and higher geopolitical risks. Nonetheless, investors remain confident that an accelerated policy easing would interact with supportive financial conditions to safeguard the resilience of the global economy, especially since China recently announced a coordinated set of monetary and fiscal measures.

We know that every entrepreneurial journey is different, but there are lessons that all founders can learn from each other. In this series of video interviews, we asked the founders of three successful companies to share their experiences and offer practical advice.

Within 50 years there may not be enough soil left to grow food to feed the world, and more than half of the world’s agricultural land has already degraded. In our third Sustainability Sphere we asked how companies and individuals can address these challenges.

Redburn Atlantic’s latest Review examines the transformative impact of innovation, including the rapid growth of digital platforms and the future of the chip industry. It also covers the economic implications of housing in the UK, the issues of overtourism, the status of British grammar schools, and offers insights into the NHS, equity markets, and more.​

Global growth is decelerating, but investors expect it will pick up as the impact of monetary policy easing gains traction early next year. Yet, soft landings are hard to track as the early signs of a deceleration look painfully similar to a slide into recession.

Relocating to Guernsey is attractive due to its natural beauty and high quality of life. But we know that moving is a big decision. In this article we answer some common questions about moving to the island and provide information on how we can help you relocate.

La renta variable mundial subió un 2,5% en agosto (en USD), mientras que la deuda pública mundial se revalorizó un 1,0% (en USD, con cobertura).