Insights

We review a strong Q1 for the value of Growth Equity raises on both sides of the Atlantic ( US +48% yoy, Europe +22%) and the potential impact of the ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs on trading conditions for venture backed firms, the flow of funding into the asset class and valuation.

Global growth remained relatively resilient in early 2025. However, front-loading of global trade flows, particularly between Asia and North America, greatly distorted the reality. In fact, stagflation and recession risks have both increased significantly.

In this edition of Insights, we explore the evolving dynamics of wealth transfer, focusing on how generational changes are reshaping the financial landscape.

Metals are crucial for daily life and the economy. Our fourth Sustainability Sphere discusses sustainable mining practices. Technology and mining share a symbiotic relationship; and they can drive each other towards a greener, zero-carbon future.

The Mansion House Initiative has ten of the UK’s largest pension providers committing 5% of ‘default’ funds from DC pensions to private assets by 2030, hoping to free up £75bn of growth financing. Ahead of the second anniversary of the Mansion House reforms we take a deep dive into funding conditions for UK private companies.

President Donald Trump’s trade-war salvo, the largest act of American protectionism since the 1930s, combined with his foreign policy’s complete shift, are sending significant shockwaves through the global economy. Although the full impact of phenomenal uncertainty is a key unknown, inflation and growth dynamics might well evolve opposite to investor’s Goldilocks scenario.

A trade conflict with the US’s closest economic partners might begin soon, and all indications are that these actions are a start to a widening trade war. The complete ramifications are unknown, yet the cost of uncertainty could be large and increases the risk of stagflation.

Professionals have a lot of questions about their finances and often do not have the time to manage them alone. In this article we wanted to discuss some of the questions we are asked most frequently and offer some guidance on the key factors you should consider.

Venture Capital activity grew in 2024 for the first time since 2021 with Pitchbook estimating that global funding for VC backed firms increased by 5% yoy, from $349bn in 2023 to $368bn in 2024. In January’s update we make ten predictions for the growth equity market in 2025. Led by AI and associated industries we think the level of VC funding will grow again in 2025- not a bonanza but a year of solid growth.

We are often asked why we focus on wealth preservation. We know growth is important, but we also want to achieve this in a prudent way and avoid any irrecoverable losses on the way. In this Quarterly Letter, we discuss some of the ways we try to do that.

In December’s edition we review the biggest deals in growth equity in 2024 on both sides of the Atlantic. A strong end to the year fuelled by AI deals meant our US Deal Monitor recorded 113 raises of $200m+ raising $82bn in 2024, well ahead of 2023’s $44bn. Europe started strongly and then faded. Our Deal Monitor shows a 2024 ytd total of $32.3bn modestly ahead of 2023 with Climate Tech, AI and software leading. Meanwhile Wall Street strategists anticipate a c10% rise in the S&P 500 in 2025.

Redburn Atlantic’s most recent Review explores investment in AI following the conclusion of the hype cycle, the possibility of new trade wars under the second Trump administration, the impact of social media on ecommerce, the rapid rise of Private Markets, ‘Super Tuscan’ Wines, and much more. 

The Macro-Linked Bonds and Governance Linked Bonds introduced in the context of Sri Lanka’s recent debt restructuring include important innovations that significantly enhance the utility of state contingent debt instruments as a means of both accelerating the restructuring process and reducing the risk of future debt distress

Global equities rose by 3.7% in November (USD terms), while global government bonds returned 1.1% (USD, hedged terms).

Emotions can be very persuasive, especially where money is concerned. In this article, we look at why some people have reservations about investing for the first time, or increasing the amount they have invested. We explain how creating and sticking to a plan can help.

President Trump’s upcoming return to the White House has brought much noise with it. In this Market Perspective we look at the impact the new presidency could have on markets. We also discuss how the global economy deals with debt, rates and tariffs.

In November's edition, shareholders of VC companies are turning to the secondary market as a tool for interim liquidity. we review recent deals in the buoyant VC secondaries market and look at some of its new dedicated funds. Meanwhile, one in three US venture capital dollars raised in 2024 have gone to AI with more big deals in the offing.

Wealth can offer a lot of benefits to a family, but can also bring pressure. A long-term financial plan should ensure your wealth is protected against inflation and is in the best position to grow. In this article, we will talk you through a 60-year financial plan.

Global equities fell by 2.2% in October (USD terms), while global government bond returns declined by 1.2% (USD, hedged terms). Key themes included: Stock markets retreat as government bond yields surge; Economic resilience persists, with inflation modestly above target in most regions; Geopolitical risk intensifies in the Middle East, Ukraine and Taiwan.

This issue of Insights centres on the U.S. in light of its upcoming elections, featuring insights from our Chief Investment Officer and analyses from our Global Investment Strategist and Fixed Income team. We also share findings from a recent U.S. road trip, explore the potential of robotics, and discuss the evolving U.S.-Swiss relationship.

The global economy grapples with a faltering goods sector and higher geopolitical risks. Nonetheless, investors remain confident that an accelerated policy easing would interact with supportive financial conditions to safeguard the resilience of the global economy, especially since China recently announced a coordinated set of monetary and fiscal measures.

We know that every entrepreneurial journey is different, but there are lessons that all founders can learn from each other. In this series of video interviews, we asked the founders of three successful companies to share their experiences and offer practical advice.

Global equities moved higher by 2.3% in September (USD terms), while global government bonds returned 1.1% (USD, hedged terms).

Adapting to change isn't easy. It requires a willingness to experiment, get things wrong and reflect honestly about how to improve. In this Quarterly Letter, we explore the importance of experimentation, and how looking back helps us to get better at looking forward.

Global growth is decelerating, but investors expect it will pick up as the impact of monetary policy easing gains traction early next year. Yet, soft landings are hard to track as the early signs of a deceleration look painfully similar to a slide into recession.

Relocating to Guernsey is attractive due to its natural beauty and high quality of life. But we know that moving is a big decision. In this article we answer some common questions about moving to the island and provide information on how we can help you relocate.

In September’s edition we take a deep dive into Insurtech. We explore the landscape and how its VC backed companies are facing the growth challenges against a backdrop of annual global VC funding for Insurtech fluctuating from highs of $16.6bn in 2021 to just $0.8bn in Q1 2024.

In the Journey to Success report, we speak to the inspiring founders of Bare Biology, Two Chicks and Seraphine about their businesses and consider how founders should approach their corporate and personal finances along the way.

Weakening business confidence indices continue to cast doubts on the global economy’s resilience. Although core inflation remains above central banks’ targets, the cooling of labour markets has not gone unnoticed, prompting a major shift in policy rates projections.