Insights

Im Dezember sanken die weltweiten Aktienkurse um 2,4 % (in USD), während die globalen Staatsanleihen um 0,7 % (in USD, abgesichert) fielen.

Die weltweiten Aktienkurse sanken im Dezember um 2,4 % (in USD), während die weltweiten Staatsanleihen um 0,7 % (in USD, abgesichert) fielen.

We are often asked why we focus on wealth preservation. We know growth is important, but we also want to achieve this in a prudent way and avoid any irrecoverable losses on the way. In this Quarterly Letter, we discuss some of the ways we try to do that.

In December’s edition we review the biggest deals in growth equity in 2024 on both sides of the Atlantic. A strong end to the year fuelled by AI deals meant our US Deal Monitor recorded 113 raises of $200m+ raising $82bn in 2024, well ahead of 2023’s $44bn. Europe started strongly and then faded. Our Deal Monitor shows a 2024 ytd total of $32.3bn modestly ahead of 2023 with Climate Tech, AI and software leading. Meanwhile Wall Street strategists anticipate a c10% rise in the S&P 500 in 2025.

While global growth has proved resilient to policy tightening, significant divergences have emerged across countries, and the outcome of the US election has increased the risks for that trend to amplify. Furthermore, by choosing not to act on any assumptions about what the incoming US administration might enact, combined with the long and variable lags of monetary policy, the Fed will struggle to contain the economic consequences of Donald Trump’s priorities.

Positive Impulse für Aktienmärkte: Wachstum in den USA, stabilisierte Eurozone und sinkende Zinsen schaffen Chancen trotz Industrieschwäche.

Financial markets are often volatile and can be hard to predict over the short term. However, staying invested over longer time periods can help minimise this volatility. In this article we explore how timing the market and getting it wrong can impact your wealth.

Globale Aktien stiegen im November um 3,7 % (in USD), während globale Staatsanleihen eine Rendite von 1,1 % erzielten (in USD, abgesichert).

Die bevorstehende Rückkehr von Präsident Trump ins Weiße Haus hat viel Aufsehen erregt. In unserem Marktausblick untersuchen wir, welche Auswirkungen die neue Präsidentschaft auf die Märkte haben könnte. Darüber hinaus gehen wir der Frage nach, wie die Weltwirtschaft mit Schulden, Zinsen und Zöllen umgehen wird.

The Rothschild family’s connection to Manchester stretches back to 1799. In this special article we explore the historic ties between the family and the city, and how Rothschild & Co continues to support innovation and entrepreneurship in Manchester to this day.

The outcome of the US election has increased the risks for the global economy, as trade wars and higher interest rates have the potential to derail the resilience of growth. Furthermore, regional divergences could widen as Europe and China will likely be facing a challenging environment, although policymakers have tools to mitigate the impact of Trump’s agenda

In November's edition, shareholders of VC companies are turning to the secondary market as a tool for interim liquidity. we review recent deals in the buoyant VC secondaries market and look at some of its new dedicated funds. Meanwhile, one in three US venture capital dollars raised in 2024 have gone to AI with more big deals in the offing.

Globale Aktien fielen im Oktober um 2,2 % (in USD), während die Renditen globaler Staatsanleihen um 1,2 % zurückgingen (in USD, gesichert).

Diese Ausgabe von Insights befasst sich mit den USA vor dem Hintergrund der bevorstehenden Wahlen und enthält Erkenntnisse unseres Chief Investment Officer sowie Analysen unseres Global Investment Strategist und Fixed Income Teams. Ausserdem berichten wir über eine kürzlich durchgeführte Reise in die USA, erkunden das Potenzial der Robotik und diskutieren die sich entwickelnden Beziehungen zwischen den USA und der Schweiz.

We are now entering the final act of this dramatic 60th presidential election. The polls are too close to call, yet the candidates’ positions could hardly be more polarised. In this election essay we examine the potential economic repercussions of the upcoming vote.

In October’s edition, we look at the details of OpenAI’s recent $6.6bn raise, who invested and who didn’t, at the financials and at the state of OpenAI as its mission shifts awy from capped profit status. Meanwhile global VC fundraising in Q3 was twice the level of Q1 and September was a robust month for VC backed company raises on both sides of the Atlantic.

We know that every entrepreneurial journey is different, but there are lessons that all founders can learn from each other. In this series of video interviews, we asked the founders of three successful companies to share their experiences and offer practical advice.

Globale Aktien stiegen im September um 2,3 % (in USD), während globale Staatsanleihen 1,1 % erzielten (in USD, abgesichert).

Adapting to change isn't easy. It requires a willingness to experiment, get things wrong and reflect honestly about how to improve. In this Quarterly Letter, we explore the importance of experimentation, and how looking back helps us to get better at looking forward.

Within 50 years there may not be enough soil left to grow food to feed the world, and more than half of the world’s agricultural land has already degraded. In our third Sustainability Sphere we asked how companies and individuals can address these challenges.

Relocating to Guernsey is attractive due to its natural beauty and high quality of life. But we know that moving is a big decision. In this article we answer some common questions about moving to the island and provide information on how we can help you relocate.

In September’s edition we take a deep dive into Insurtech. We explore the landscape and how its VC backed companies are facing the growth challenges against a backdrop of annual global VC funding for Insurtech fluctuating from highs of $16.6bn in 2021 to just $0.8bn in Q1 2024.

Die US-Wirtschaft kühlt ab, was der Fed Spielraum für Zinssenkungen bietet. Wir favorisieren Aktien und setzen im Anleihebereich auf erstklassige Bonitäten, da Risikoaufschläge im High-Yield-Segment unattraktiv sind.

In the Journey to Success report, we speak to the inspiring founders of Bare Biology, Two Chicks and Seraphine about their businesses and consider how founders should approach their corporate and personal finances along the way.

Weakening business confidence indices continue to cast doubts on the global economy’s resilience. Although core inflation remains above central banks’ targets, the cooling of labour markets has not gone unnoticed, prompting a major shift in policy rates projections.

The August edition assesses the recent strength of the European VC market. With July also being a strong month for IPOs, with $5.5bn raised in the US. We do a deep dive on LegalTech following a recent spate of VC raises. Plus, we look at the likelihood of the Fed cutting rates in September and the possible market reaction.

Globale Aktien legten im Juli um 1,6% (in USD) zu, während globale Staatsanleihen 1,8% (in USD, abgesichert) erzielten.

Zum Auftakt der 33. Olympischen Spiele in Paris finden wir heraus, wie es ist, eine Goldmedaille zu gewinnen, sich auf grosse Sportevents vorzubereiten und die Entscheidung zum Rücktritt aus dem Sport zu treffen. In unseren neuesten Investment Views sprechen wir dazu mit Britta Heidemann, der ersten Fechterin, die das 'goldene Triple' erzielt hat.

Business confidence fell at the end of Q2-24, casting doubts on the positive momentum going into the second half of the year, while rising political uncertainty add to an already complicated conduct of monetary policy.

Die Höchststände der weltweiten Aktienkurse im Juni wurden weitgehend von einigen US Mega-Cap getrieben, während die Ankündigung der vorgezogenen Neuwahlen durch Präsident Macron die europäischen Märkte verunsicherte.

We all like to achieve good value for money, but it's particularly important when choosing a wealth manager. You are entrusting someone with you and your family’s financial future, and in this article we outline how to assess the value of a wealth manager.

Wealth can be easily lost if you are not prudent. A wealth manager can help you avoid this fate, but you need to be confident that you're making the right choice. In this article we outline the key questions to ask and how they can hep you meet your financial goals.