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Asset Management: Fixed Income Quarterly Strategy - July 2026

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Published date

Fixed Income Quarterly Strategy - July 2026

 

 

Energy Market Normalisation Eases Risks
 

The recent decline in oil prices and the easing of tensions around the Strait of Hormuz have reduced the risks of a stagflationary scenario. While geopolitical uncertainties remain, the gradual normalisation of energy prices is once again supporting the global economic outlook.

Renewed Opportunities in Short-Term Rates
 

In an environment marked by significant financing needs related to artificial intelligence, infrastructure investment and public spending, bond yields remain attractive. Short-duration bonds appear particularly compelling, offering greater visibility than longer maturities, which remain exposed to economic and fiscal uncertainties.

A Resilient but More Selective Credit Market
 

The credit market continues to benefit from solid fundamentals and attractive yields. However, historically low risk premiums are increasing the importance of issuer selection. Financial issuers remain a key driver of performance, while a more cautious approach is being adopted toward the High Yield segment.

Hyperscalers Driving Financing Needs
 

Major technology companies continue to invest heavily in artificial intelligence infrastructure. This trend is supporting activity in the bond market, but investors are becoming increasingly demanding regarding companies' ability to convert these expenditures into sustainable and profitable growth.

 

 

Read the Monthly Macro Insights

by Marc-Antoine Collard, Chief Economist and Head of Economic Research

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Debt and taxes

Fiscal debates focus on debt and deficits, but government size may matter more. While debt shows little link to bond yields, higher taxes and spending can affect competitiveness, growth and economic efficiency.

France: Fiscal pressure

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