Understanding 2025, Anticipating 2026

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  • Another debt ratio observation

    Strategy Blog

    CBO long-term US debt projections have improved since 2021 due to small assumption changes, highlighting forecast sensitivity, while rising bond yields reflect inflation and interest rate dynamics, not fiscal concerns.

  • Signals through the noise

    Perspectives podcast

    A resilient economy, a narrow market rally, and an AI spending boom that continues to reshape the investment landscape.

  • Inflation, stock valuations, AI FAQs

    Market Perspective

    Global markets remain resilient despite geopolitical tension and rising energy prices, supported by strong earnings and AI-driven optimism.

  • The robots are (almost) here

    Thematic Insights

    Humanoid robots, long a staple of science fiction, are now approaching real-world deployment.

  • Preparing portfolios for the unexpected

    Business with humanity

    Financial markets rarely move in isolation. Periods of stress tend to emerge when several pressures unfold simultaneously such as tightening financial conditions, shifting policy expectations, liquidity constraints or sudden repricing of risk.

  • Supply chain update

    Strategy Blog

    Global supply chains face rising stress but remain resilient. Hormuz disruption halted key energy flows, prompting rerouting. Delivery times have lengthened slightly, shipping rates remain contained, and trade volumes stay healthy.